How terrible is disruptive technology soojin

How terrible is disruptive technology? The sina finance opinion leader (WeChat public kopleader) agency column Project Syndicate author Martin? Feldstein (Martin Feldstein), Professor of economics at Harvard University and chairman of the National Bureau of economic research honor, 1984 1982 – President Reagan Economic Advisory Committee chairman. What would happen to the millions of men and women who now drive trucks and taxis if trucks and taxis are unmanned? What will happen to the accountant and the doctor if the computer is able to account and see a doctor? How terrible is disruptive technology? Kan Bridge — unmanned traffic streams of people busily coming and going to convince me that before long the road will be full of driverless cars and trucks. Similarly, I believe that the artificial intelligence revolution will allow computers and robots to accomplish many of the tasks now available to white-collar workers. So it is not surprising that a lot of people who are worried about their jobs — or those who have been beaten by the latest breakthroughs. What would happen to the millions of men and women who now drive trucks and taxis if trucks and taxis are unmanned? What will happen to the accountant and the doctor if the computer is able to account and see a doctor? Some analysts have estimated that a large proportion of jobs will be redundant because of the sharp reduction in the number of employees required to maintain the existing production of goods and services. I have heard of such concerns, and that such fears can not be easily lifted. But I am optimistic that the United States is at least able to successfully adapt to the new technology. There may be some losers, others will be winners, but the American public as a whole will live a richer life. And those who lose their jobs because of the new technology will soon find other jobs. I think there is no reason to worry that the new technology will cause mass unemployment. Changes in technology can increase economic output and improve people’s living standards. Those who want to work can continue to find work. Why am I so optimistic? In a word: because of history. Rapid technological change is not the first time. Over the years, we have already experienced the revolution in the machine and computer technology that has replaced individual workers. But despite the ups and downs of the business cycle, the U.S. economy is still to achieve full employment. This phenomenon is most significant in the manufacturing sector. Over the years, robotics and automation machinery manufacturing industry to replace workers, resulting in the field of employment declined from 13 million in 1950 to 9 million at present, while the actual manufacturing output value has increased by 75%. And those who have jobs in manufacturing have found jobs in other areas of the economy. Workers have been replaced by computers in a range of services. We can’t see too many elevator operators. The operator has disappeared. Most people use the automatic check-in equipment to print boarding passes at the airport. Law firms and accounting firms use computers to complete the work that has been done by professional staff相关的主题文章: